Rasmussen report on Huckster

<font color=black>
Rasmussen: ‘The Huckaboom
may have crested’

Pollster’s new results show
candidate tied in Iowa after double-digit lead





Posted:
December 20, 2007
12:07 p.m. Eastern

By Jerome R. Corsi
© 2007 WorldNetDaily.com

With his support
receding in Iowa and South Carolina, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee’s surge
to the top of the race for the Republican presidential nomination appears to
have hit its high point, pollster Scott Rasmussen told WND.

“The Huckaboom
may have crested,” said Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports.

Yesterday, Rasmussen
released the results of a survey showing Huckabee falling back into a tie with Romney
in Iowa and South Carolina
.

In Iowa, Huckabee had
a double-digit lead at the beginning of December. The Rasmussen poll yesterday
showed him at 28 percent, with Romney at 27 percent and McCain in third at 14
percent.

Rasmussen cautioned
that the cresting of the Huckaboom should be seen in context.

“If a month and
a half ago I had told you that Huckabee was tied for the lead in Iowa and South
Carolina, that would have been seen as great news for the then-long-shot Huckabee
campaign,” he said.

What happened?

“Huckabee built
some support in Iowa, and then there was a huge round of enthusiasm as he built
a double-digit lead in Iowa and a significant lead in South Carolina,”
Rasmussen explained.

“But as Huckabee
surged, the other candidates began to take Huckabee seriously,” he
continued. “Then Huckabee began receiving a significant amount of negative
campaigning in Iowa and South Carolina, and the negative campaigning is now
having an impact.”

Does the endorsement by Jim Gilchrist, the founder of the
Minuteman Project help or hurt Huckabee?

“I think it will
help,” he answered cautiously. “But I don’t think it’s
definitive.”

“What’s
happening right now is Mike Huckabee is going through a vetting process that
other candidates went through earlier in the year,” he explained.
“There is no one piece of information that is going to be
definitive.”

Rasmussen said a
defining demographic for Huckabee was his strong support among evangelical
Christians.

“Huckabee went
from 48 percent support among evangelicals in late November, which was huge, up
to 62 percent a couple of weeks later, which was unbelievable,” he said.
“Now it’s back to 49 percent.”

Rasmussen said
Huckabee “resonates with certain constituencies and important parts of the
population in Iowa, but there was another tier that was a little bit softer and
they are re-evaluating.”

The pollster said
Huckabee’s Christmas ad would have helped him nationally if not for the
controversy that arose when critics accused his campaign of using subliminal
messaging by making a bookcase in the background appear as a cross.

Rasmussen admitted
his polling does not have direct data on the ad. He suspects that while it may
have helped Huckabee strengthen his Iowa support, it is clearly having a
negative impact outside the state.

“The Huckaboom
has retreated from its peak,” Rasmussen said. “I live by the beach,
so I tend to think in terms of tides. The Huckabee tide has pulled back from
its high point, but we don’t know yet who is going to win Iowa.”

To put Huckabee’s
rise in perspective, Rasmussen compared it to how Fred Thompson entered the
race.

“Earlier this
year, Fred Thompson looked good to outsiders,” he said. “As Thompson
entered the campaign, his numbers went down dramatically.”

Rasmussen told WND
the phenomena of Huckabee and Thompson show there is a serious level of
searching for an alternative among Republican primary voters.

“The conditions
remain right for a candidate to rise up and grab a section of the
constituency,” he concluded, “because none of the Republican primary
contenders has done so as yet.”

 

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